Skip to main content

Projection assumptions

Appreciation Rate

Your editable assumption for annual property-value change.

Why Appreciation Rate matters

Small assumed rates compound into large modeled exit differences. Build the base case from current local evidence and include flat and declining-value scenarios; no market tier guarantees appreciation.

How to check Appreciation Rate before you rely on it

Look at the closed-sale history for similar properties in the same neighborhood over the last decade, including the years values fell, and ask what drove the changes: jobs, supply, and lending conditions, not the national headline. Then build the base case from that evidence and run flat and declining cases beside it. The projection should tell you what you are betting on, not confirm it.

Related terms

Ready to run the Appreciation Rate math on a real deal?

Free 60-second analysis with labeled starting assumptions and no signup. Pro calculates your Offer Ceiling: the highest price that still meets your targets under the assumptions shown.

Analyze a property free

Where Appreciation Rate shows up in TrueCap

Projection assumptions feed the 10-year view: rent and expense growth, appreciation, and the exit costs used in the sale scenarios. They do not change the first-year verdict; they change what the deal looks like over time, which is why they are kept editable and labeled separately from the current-year inputs.